Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.218435 0.252728 0.290610 0.335559 0.387444 0.445466 0.515294
2025-09-28 0.163759 0.209607 0.265498 0.338645 0.431893 0.546870 0.699564
2025-10-05 0.139916 0.192090 0.260189 0.355582 0.485855 0.657726 0.902107
2025-10-12 0.122047 0.177425 0.253848 0.367011 0.530479 0.758380 1.100987
2025-10-19 0.108018 0.165014 0.247560 0.375815 0.570317 0.854753 1.303487
2025-10-26 0.095645 0.152746 0.239096 0.379166 0.601037 0.939663 1.497459
2025-11-02 0.083903 0.139544 0.227074 0.374757 0.618180 1.004486 1.666421
2025-11-09 0.072648 0.125457 0.211629 0.362422 0.620304 1.044624 1.798762
2025-11-16 0.066951 0.119757 0.208919 0.370356 0.656110 1.142438 2.036801
2025-11-23 0.061095 0.112968 0.203424 0.372560 0.681826 1.225196 2.257166
2025-11-30 0.056581 0.107965 0.200348 0.378437 0.714252 1.322342 2.513019
2025-12-07 0.050804 0.099899 0.190782 0.371157 0.721430 1.374238 2.690284
2025-12-14 0.046136 0.093485 0.183728 0.368124 0.736874 1.444171 2.912181
2025-12-21 0.042732 0.089156 0.180181 0.371521 0.765251 1.541896 3.200162
2025-12-28 0.041321 0.088664 0.184055 0.390099 0.825874 1.708846 3.646096
2026-01-04 0.039388 0.086838 0.184989 0.402635 0.875295 1.858144 4.071855
2026-01-11 0.037346 0.084522 0.184619 0.412291 0.919545 2.001088 4.499708
2026-01-18 0.034970 0.081182 0.181680 0.415967 0.951080 2.120079 4.888030
2026-01-25 0.032144 0.076490 0.175269 0.411132 0.963002 2.197412 5.191012
2026-02-01 0.028965 0.070605 0.165547 0.397602 0.953477 2.225763 5.383955
2026-02-08 0.027638 0.068962 0.165342 0.406304 0.996826 2.378884 5.887968
2026-02-15 0.026003 0.066379 0.162651 0.408722 1.025329 2.500168 6.328310
2026-02-22 0.024746 0.064591 0.161661 0.415168 1.064320 2.650233 6.856022